Again we are immersed in another episode of spring instability.
After the rains of recent days, weak or locally moderate and of irregular distribution, instability will increase tomorrow Wednesday.
It is likely that from dawn (approximately 04:00 hours), the rains will begin to affect the Region of Murcia entering from Almería, making the area of ​​Ãguilas and Puerto Lumbreras the first to receive the rain.
The rains will spread from southwest to northeast throughout the rest of the Region of Murcia in the following hours (they will be generalized), becoming more intense in the east of the Region and the rains ceasing in the same direction as the morning progresses.
Showers, which will be widespread and weak to moderate, will be able to discharge with strong intensity locally and occasionally with a storm.
It cannot be ruled out that local hail falls frequently.
Due to this situation, AEMET has activated the yellow warning for rains that can discharge 15 mm / h in the Guadalentín Valley, Lorca and Ãguilas, Vega del Segura and Campo de Cartagena and Mazarrón between 04:00 and 12:00 Wednesday hours.
After the passage of this line of instability, some gaps will open, but in the afternoon showers and storms may develop, without ruling out that they are locally strong, but already of irregular distribution and of very short duration, improving as the afternoon progresses.
There is indefiniteness when it comes to locating the maximums of intensity, but we believe that approximately the day will develop like this.
Thursday will be a calmer day and on Friday there may be a weak and isolated shower.
We have our sights set on the weekend, when some models foresee that the rains can be general and locally strong in the southeast, but it is very difficult to determine so many days in advance.
Much caution.
